Thursday, September 26, 2024

Can a Lay Witness Offer an Expert Opinion?


Can a Lay Witness Offer an Expert Opinion? If you're a trial attorney, this question may come up more often than you'd expect, because introducing lay witnesses is one method of surprising the counterparty, since there are fewer disclosure requirements and procedures for lay witnesses than for expert witnesses in US federal and state legal proceedings.

As an expert witness (not an attorney) I find that the distinction between lay and expert witnesses is critical. Lay witnesses typically provide testimony based on their personal knowledge or observation, whereas expert witnesses are called upon to offer specialized knowledge that aids the court in understanding complex matters. However, the question often arises: can a lay witness ever give an opinion that might resemble expert testimony? The answer lies in a careful analysis of the rules of evidence and case law, which you should discuss with your legal counsel. The below represents my understanding as a non-lawyer, thus it should not be taken as legal advice.

The Role of Lay Witnesses

A lay witness is someone who testifies about facts they personally observed or experienced. According to Rule 701 of the Federal Rules of Evidence, a lay witness may offer an opinion, but only if it is:

Rationally based on their perception: The opinion must stem directly from the witness's personal observations and experiences, not from specialized or technical knowledge.

Helpful to understanding their testimony or determining a fact in issue: The opinion must assist the court or jury in grasping what the witness saw or experienced, providing clarity to otherwise factual testimony.

Not based on scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge: If an opinion requires specialized knowledge, it falls under the domain of an expert witness, per Rule 702.

In other words, lay witnesses can offer opinions that are grounded in everyday reasoning and personal experience. For example, a lay witness may testify that someone appeared “nervous” or “angry” based on their demeanor, or that a vehicle seemed to be speeding. These observations are not considered expert opinions because they are accessible to any reasonable person without specialized training.

The Role of Expert Witnesses

An expert witness, on the other hand, is specifically qualified by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education. Experts are called to offer testimony on subjects that require a deeper understanding beyond common experience, such as medical diagnoses, technical data, or financial calculations. Their testimony must adhere to the standards of Rule 702, which governs the admissibility of expert opinions.

The Gray Area: When Lay Testimony Resembles Expertise

There are situations where the line between lay and expert opinion blurs. In such instances, courts scrutinize the nature of the testimony to determine whether a lay witness’s opinion crosses into expert territory.

For example, in United States v. Figueroa-Lopez, a lay witness was prohibited from giving an opinion that the defendant was acting in the manner of an experienced drug trafficker. The court ruled that this opinion required specialized knowledge and, therefore, fell under the purview of expert testimony.

However, there are cases where lay testimony can approach expert-like opinions without crossing the line (i.e., when opinions are grounded in firsthand knowledge gained from practical experience, not formal expertise).

Practical Scenarios: When Lay Witnesses May Offer Opinion

  • Eyewitness Accounts: A lay witness can offer opinions about the speed of a vehicle, the identity of a person they know, or the emotional state of someone they observed. These opinions are rooted in common sense and direct observation.

  • Business Practices: Business owners or employees with firsthand knowledge of standard operating procedures can provide lay opinions about routine matters within their industry. For instance, a restaurant owner may testify about typical food preparation procedures without being considered an expert.

  • Medical Conditions: A lay witness can testify about obvious, observable medical conditions (e.g., someone appeared to have difficulty breathing or seemed unconscious), but diagnosing a specific medical condition requires expert testimony from a medical professional.

Other Jurisdictions Differ, Including U.S. State Courts

Many US states have adopted rules that are similar or identical to the Federal Rules of Evidence, particularly Rule 701 (lay witness opinion testimony) and Rule 702 (expert witness testimony). However, states may interpret or apply these rules differently, leading to variations in what types of testimony are admissible in state courts.  For example,  New York has not formally adopted the FRE, but its courts follow a similar approach regarding lay and expert testimony. New York courts may allow a lay witness to offer opinions in certain situations where the witness has specialized knowledge from experience, but this remains limited. For instance, a New York lay witness might testify about common business practices in their industry without being formally qualified as an expert, as long as the opinion is based on personal experience and not technical or specialized knowledge.

Technically different states follow different standards for the admissibility of expert opinions, namely:

  • The Daubert Standard: Under Daubert (adopted by federal courts and many states), the judge acts as a gatekeeper to ensure that expert testimony is scientifically reliable and relevant. This standard tends to be stricter in ensuring that the expert's methodology is sound and applicable.

  • The Frye Standard: Some states, including California (at least historically), follow the Frye standard, which requires that the expert’s testimony be based on scientific methods that are “generally accepted” in the relevant field. Frye is often seen as a more lenient standard than Daubert in some respects.

Under California law, a lay witness may provide opinions that are rationally based on their perception and helpful to understanding the testimony or determining a fact. However, California courts may allow more flexibility in certain types of lay opinions, especially when it comes to areas like business practices or common knowledge.

The difference between Daubert and Frye standards primarily impacts expert testimony, but it also affects how strictly courts will distinguish between lay and expert opinions. A state following the Frye standard might allow lay opinions on subjects that Daubert jurisdictions would restrict to experts, depending on the situation.

Conclusion

While lay witnesses cannot offer expert opinions, they are permitted to provide certain types of opinion testimony based on their personal observations and experiences. The key is that their opinions must be rational, helpful to the trier of fact, and not based on specialized knowledge. This rule ensures that courts maintain the balance between reliable expert testimony and useful lay observations, all while upholding the integrity of the legal process.

Understanding the distinction between lay and expert testimony is vital in preparing for trial. Lawyers must ensure that lay witnesses stay within the bounds of what they are allowed to testify about, while also leveraging their observations effectively to support their case. As always, careful consideration of the rules of evidence will guide which opinions are admissible and which must be left to the experts.

When it comes to intellectual property infringement cases, having the right damages expert can make all the difference in a successful outcome. At my firm, Boschan Corp., we specialize in IP infringement damages and are here when you need a seasoned expert to support your case. As a trusted partner in forensic accounting, we’re ready to help. Visit our website: boschan.com for more information or call us today at (424) 248-8866 to clear conflicts and get started.


Sunday, February 18, 2024

How AI Impacts the Valuation of IP Assets: Betas

Watching NYU Professor Aswath Damodaran's recent video, Catastrophic Risks in Business and Investing, reminded me of a music investors' conference I attended last summer in New York.

At the conference, every panel discussion among music investment experts dedicated a few minutes to the looming elephant in the room - artificial intelligence (AI) - and whether it poses a catastrophic threat to music earnings in the future and, thus, catalog values today.


There is a business tool called SWOT analysis, which identifies a subject's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. It was as if all of the conference speakers - music investing experts - had reached SWOT consensus on talking points that AI was an "opportunity," not a threat. 

However, beneath this facade of optimism, perhaps there was denial? A psychologically predictable reluctance to confront the existential threat posed by AI to the music industry? None of the speakers delved into the tangible impacts of low-probability catastrophic AI risk on the valuation of music rights interests.

Yet, markets were already adapting based on perceived greater-than-zero risks and opportunities created when AI increases the supply of music at less cost to users than human-made sources (i.e., composers and performers). The largest music companies and some individual artists were already hedging by investing in AI initiatives. Investors were already reassessing portfolio allocations, seeking to invest in AI to balance their portfolios, leaving less cash available for human made music investments. And my firm was already incorporating in valuation projects the music sector's relatively high exposure to AI-related risk in two respects:

  1. Decreased prices (buyers/investors required greater return to compensate for greater relative risk)
  2. Increased costs of equity for firms (since investors demand greater returns) 

As an astute expert on the value of music rights, I recognize the imperative of recalibrating risk premiums to reflect the evolving landscape. Therefore, I can not overlook the imminent specter of AI-induced disruption in the music industry, even if the probability is very low that the market for human-made music might erode catastrophically someday. 

Drawing from the insights I gleaned years ago from Professor Damodaran's teachings at NYU, sector-wide risk is coalesced in the "beta" component of risk premiums in the discount rates we use to value income streams. The beta is where we should ideally adjust for the risk to a sector relative to the entire market for all sectors. The average beta across all investments is equal to one. For sectors with above-average risk, the beta will be greater than one. For below-average risk sectors, the beta will be less than one. 

While my firm Boschan Corp.'s music sector research and beta calculations are confidential, here are Betas by Sector as well as a video from the Professor himself. Keep in mind, these betas might be used only for investors:

    • Using the capital asset pricing model
    • With diversified portfolios 

Unfortunately, conventional methods for estimating betas remain rooted in historical data. Thus, they fall short in capturing the forward-looking nature of catastrophic risks. Hence, the need for a nuanced approach—one that accounts for the interplay between AI and the music industry, leveraging industry expertise and stakeholder insights to inform risk assessment.

At Boschan Corp. we undertake rigorous analysis to gauge the extent of AI integration within music companies (i.e., how much music companies are hedging with investments in AI), how much AI companies are investing in music, and we solicit diverse perspectives to ascertain the likelihood and magnitude of AI-induced disruptions ("How likely is it that half of all music consumed by consumers is not artist created by humans in the next ten years?"). 

Also, we can explore the merits of an alternate approach to address catastrophic risk on an asset or company-specific basis (not on a sector-wide basis) with valuations based on two or more cash flow forecasts:

  1. Assuming no catastrophe and
  2. Assuming catastrophic outcome(s)

Then, we apply the buyer/investors' risk probability to each scenario and sum the results.

In this case, how shall an investor estimate probability of the risk posed to the music industry by AI?

Whether through sector-wide adjustments or asset-specific valuations, the weakness of both methods is the same: How to determine the temporal and qualitative dimensions of catastrophic risk (i.e., probability over time and magnitude of the catastrophe).

In either case, in confronting the specter of catastrophic AI risks, human expertise remains our most potent weapon in mitigating uncertainty and seizing opportunity amidst disruption.

For investors navigating the labyrinth of uncertainty, Professor Damodaran's comprehensive resources on betas and risk dynamics serve as invaluable compasses, offering nuanced insights and practical frameworks to navigate uncharted terrain. He and NYU also have made available the following resources: